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Forecast
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NWS Winter Weather Advisory (Watauga County)

Current Conditions
Boone

Temp: 38.9°F

Forecast Last Updated at Thursday, March 5, 2015 at 7:09AM

Rain Changing to Wintry Mix

Today will be a sharp contrast to Wednesday across the Southern Appalachians. There will also be a sharp contrast today between the east and west. Rain entered our region early this morning and MUCH colder air is moving south and east. Temperatures right along the TN/NC border (and along the VA/NC border) fall below freezing this morning. Sharply colder air moves east and south during the day. Rain changes to freezing rain as this transition occurs. This afternoon, precipitation mixes with sleet before ending briefly as snow showers. Temperatures will be VERY cold tonight and Friday.

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Thursday

Hi: 45 Lo: 14

Cloudy; Falling temperatures; Rain, changing to freezing rain in the AM near the TN/NC and VA/NC borders, then east and south this afternoon; Some sleet this afternoon, ending as a brief period of snow showers; NW wind 5-15 mph & gusty
Friday

Hi: 35 Lo: 23

Clear; Cold; Light wind becoming West 5-15 mph
Saturday

Hi: 49 Lo: 28

Mostly clear; Cold start, then less cold; West wind 5-15 mph, gusty at times
Sunday

Hi: 54 Lo: 33

Partly to mostly cloudy: Maybe a few showers Sun. night
Monday

Hi: 52 Lo: 31

Mostly cloudy; Seasonal temperatures

Further Out

Tuesday - Cloudy; Rain showers; High in the upper 40s; Low in the upper 30s
Wednesday - Mostly cloudy; Mild; High in the mid 50s; Low near 40 degrees

Forecast Discussion

Temperatures are falling rapidly early this morning. Check out the temperature graphic at our Snake Mountain weather station for a near-20-degree temperature drop in 15 minutes. Cold air is arriving from the west first at lower levels of the atmosphere. It will take a while for the cold to work into mid levels. Thus the transition in precipitation type will be rain to freezing rain to sleet. Precipitation will end briefly as snow showers late today. The transition will be west to east and north to south across our region.

Temperatures at sunrise were below freezing right on the NC/TN line at at Whitetop, VA. The freezing line will spread south and east as the day goes along, reaching the eastern edge of the Appalachians (the Blue Ridge) late today. Freezing rain accumulations will be less than .1" for most of the region (maybe slightly more on exposed surfaces along the TN/NC border and the VA/NC border). Sleet and snow accumulations will be 1" (west and north) or less. There will be very little ice/snow along the Blue Ridge south of Deep Gap.

As arctic high pressure moves east forcing the front off the Atlantic Coast, tonight and Friday will be very cold with clearing skies. Saturday will be mostly clear and less cold by afternoon.

Early next week, low pressure out of the Gulf will move across southern Georgia. Clouds increase Sunday and a few rain showers are possible Sunday night. A front will then stall along the Atlantic and Gulf Coasts keeping clouds in our region. Rain is possible again Tuesday as another low moves northeast out of the Gulf. Clouds remain stubborn into Wednesday. Temperatures early next week return to near seasonal averages--no more roller coaster for a while.

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