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Forecast
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NWS Winter Storm Warning (Watauga County)

Current Conditions
Blowing Rock

Temp: 38.1°F
Printer Friendly View
Blowing Rock , NC

Forecast Last Updated at Friday, October 31, 2014 at 6:52PM

Happy Halloween and Welcome to Winter

The process is ahead of schedule... Rain showers arrived as expected this afternoon. The surprise is that as of 4:30 PM mountaintops near the TN/NC line were already near freezing and rain showers had already changed over to snow. Across the mountain region, the transition from rain to snow will progress top-down and from west-to-east. Accumulating snow at lower elevations will not begin until later this evening. We'll all be in snow by midnight. Snow then continues Saturday transitioning to snow showers in the afternoon and then to flurries later Saturday night. Even with the early start in 5000'-land, there's no change to the snow forecast totals for the event: 2"-5" for most but 5"-8" at higher elevations and along the western escarpment. See our Total Snow Accumulation Map for details.
Wind will also be an issue Saturday, 20-30 mph with gusts to 50 mph. Sunday has clearing skies with cool, breezy conditions. Then temperatures quickly return to seasonal norms Monday and Tuesday.

The RaysWeather.Com 2014-2015 Winter Fearless Forecast is now available, brought to you by Chuck Eyler Nationwide Agency. Snow-lovers will be excited.

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Friday

Hi: 47 Lo: 29

Cloudy tonight with rain showers changing to snow; NW wind 5-15 mph, gusty late
Saturday

Hi: 35 Lo: 26

Generally cloudy; AM Snow, then snow showers tapering to flurries at night; NW wind 20-30 mph with gusts to 50 mph
Sunday

Hi: 38 Lo: 27

Clearing skies; Chilly but not as cold; NW wind 10-20 & gusty, diminishing late Sun. night
Monday

Hi: 54 Lo: 36

Sunny; Three notches milder
Tuesday

Hi: 61 Lo: 42

Scattered clouds; Another step warmer

Further Out

Wednesday - Becoming cloudy; An afternoon shower possible; High in the mid 50s; Low in the upper 40s
Thursday - Becoming sunny; Seasonal temperatures; High in the mid 50s; Low near 40 degrees

Forecast Discussion

An upper-level low dives through the Ohio Valley this evening. It will be in SC Saturday. In response to this energy aloft, low pressure forms at the surface in NC Saturday moving off the Outer Banks Saturday night. Ahead of this energy, rain showers have already developed across the High Country with snow already being reported on the ridge tops as of 4:30pm. Colder air wraps into the Southern Appalachians tonight changing any remaining rain to snow from west to east. Snow continues overnight and Saturday becoming snow showers in the afternoon then tapering to flurries after midnight Saturday night.

We have played a conservative hand taking into account the date (rather early for snow) and warm ground; however, today we are compelled to nudge the accumulation forecast one notch. By the time it's all over (late Saturday night), expect 2"-5" for most of NW NC but 5"-8" at higher elevations and along the western upslope areas.

Wind will also become an issue Saturday--20-30 mph with gusts to 50 mph.

The cold and snow will leave almost as quickly as it came. Sunday is cold for early November but not as cold as Saturday. Breezy conditions continue Sunday. Then temperatures quickly rebound on a southwesterly flow and clear skies Monday. By Tuesday (Election Day), temperatures will be back to average for the date.

The next (weak) front arrives Wednesday evening. Clouds increase Tuesday. Wednesday is mostly cloudy with an afternoon shower possible. Skies clear Thursday with temperatures remaining near seasonal norms.

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